Spain and England: What do expectations say about the outcome of the Euro 2024 final?

The expected lineup for the final match is as follows: Pickford, Walker, Stones, Guehi, Saka, Maino, Shaw, Bellingham, Foden and Kane.

How did the previous confrontations end?

The English and Spanish teams have met on 27 previous occasions, during which England won 13 times, scoring 45 goals, Spain won 10 matches, scoring 32 goals, while the two teams tied in 4 other matches.

The last time the two teams met was in the European Nations League for the 2018/19 season, where England won 3-2.

What about penalty kicks?

Spain has played penalty kicks in 13 previous matches, winning seven of them and losing the other six.

As for England, the Three Lions team played penalty kicks on 11 previous occasions, winning four of them and losing the other seven matches.

Among these times, the two teams played the experience together, and that was in the quarter-finals of the 1996 European Nations League, which was hosted by England, when the match went to penalty kicks and ended with England winning 4-2 over the Spaniards.

What are the forecasts?

Many people try to predict the results of matches before they start, either by calculating the previous results of each of the two teams during the tournament itself, or by looking at the results of previous years, or by analyzing the strengths and weaknesses of each team.

Considering the last two matches in the tournament, that is, the semi-final matches, expectations before the start of the match between Spain and France on Tuesday indicated that Spain would win, which is what actually happened.

Hence, expectations before the start of the England-Netherlands match on Wednesday indicated that England would prefer to win, which is what happened again.

Regarding the final match on Sunday, Google search engine predictions indicated that Spain has a 38 percent chance of beating England, while for England this percentage drops to 28 percent. As for the chance of the match reaching overtime, it was 34 percent.

For its part, Opta Analyst put Spain's chances of beating England during the original time of the match at 40.5 percent.

While the chances of England winning the match in the original time of the match decrease to 29 percent, and rise slightly to 30.5 percent if the match reaches extra time.

However, if the match skips regular and extra time and goes to penalty kicks, according to Opta Analyst, the chances of Spain winning the title rise to 60.4 percent, while the chances of England lifting the cup are limited to 39.6 percent.
Source: BBC