- Grundberg meets Houthis in Muscat, urges them to pave the way for a political process Hamas: Israel does not respond to withdrawal from Gaza or ceasefire Will gold break the $3,000 per ounce barrier in 2025? Syria: New Administration Takes Over Aleppo and Al-Shaibani Crossings in Doha Draw decides Liverpool and Manchester United summit Ma'rib.. A protest stand denouncing the crimes of the Israeli occupation against the health sector in Gaza The Great Immigration Since 1948: The majority of immigrants from Israel are under the age of 45
The dilemma of any settlement now in Yemen
Opinions| 17 December, 2024 - 7:56 PM
If Al Houthi gets involved in any political process being prepared at this difficult time and in light of the developments in Syria and Lebanon and the decline of Iranian influence, he will be putting a noose around his neck and committing political and military suicide.
The Houthis have been stubborn at all previous political turns and have spoiled any peace project or roadmap. With their stubbornness, they were able to raise the ceiling of their demands and practice fruitful blackmail. But now they will do the opposite for fear of any military operation and under the influence of the collapse of the Iranian axis.
Because any political process now, no matter how marginal and formal their concessions are, will not be viewed as being in a Yemeni-Yemeni context, but rather will be understood as weakness on their part. This will turn against them the resentful in the territories they control and will whet the appetite of the forces opposing them in the government ranks to pounce on Sana’a and Hodeidah, according to the Houthis’ estimation of confusion and weakness.
Rather, any political process in Yemen at this time and before Trump's arrival is a final diplomatic prize for the Biden era and an ill-considered adventure before the arrival of Trump, whose approach towards Yemen no one knows exactly.
I do not want to pay attention to the potential losses to the legitimate government that affect its legal status and result from a peace process that is completed at the last minute without fulfilling guarantees and without knowing the outcome of the situation in Syria and Lebanon and Iran’s reaction after it absorbs the shock.
I see that any agreement that can be concluded now, especially if it stipulates a ceasefire, is, on the one hand, a free service to the regional powers. It is also a confirmation of the state of division in Yemen. An agreement of this kind does not only affect the safety of Yemen, but also the stability of every part and area of influence in Yemen for the powers controlling the ground.
Each bloc will find itself facing challenges that open the door to conflicts with social, economic and political forces within the framework of which they are at the heart of the challenges of the reconstruction phase.
Related Articles
Opinions | 28 Dec, 2024
Israel and the Houthis... deterrence and gambling
Our Writers | 24 Dec, 2024
Sinwar and Nasrallah "are not the same"
Opinions | 24 Dec, 2024
Houthis between Gaza and Yemen
Our Writers | 21 Dec, 2024
Houthi tampering in universities!
Opinions | 17 Dec, 2024
Do the Houthis get the message?